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Dr Roelof Botha's Articles

A Note on the Budget and US Tariff War

One would be embarking on a fool’s errand to try and gauge the full impact of the tensions within the government of national unity (GNU) and the 30% tariff slapped on South Africa by US President Donald Trump. 

It is trite to waste time lamenting these extraordinary events and calm heads are now required by business leaders and the GNU to carefully plan a policy response. 

A Note on the Budget Postponement

Silver Linings

During the two weeks following the postponement of the budget, the rand exchange rate vs the US dollar strengthened by 1.2% and the country’s 10-year bond yield declined by 15 basis points - a clear confirmation of the positive undertone of this (non-) event. In fact, the commentary from business leaders was overwhelmingly positive, as it demonstrated the effectiveness of the government of national unity (GNU) in preserving truly democratic principles relating to the country’s fiscal affairs.

A Note on the New Land Expropriation Act by Dr Roelof Botha

Silver Linings

The definition of expropriation remains a concern, but it is important to note that the new Expropriation Act's provisions are subject to the provisions of section 25 of the Constitution, which has not been amended. The latter section requires that compensation be just and equitable.

 

 

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